Why can’t the media understand how inflation affects rent rises?

Why can’t the media understand how inflation affects rent rises?

0:04 AM, 27th March 2024, About 8 months ago 27

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Hello, I am a big fan of the Times and Financial Times as these newspapers are usually reliable and have high quality journalists. However, I have written to the Times to explain why I am upset about one journalist and her story on why renting in the UK is so expensive.

She – and most other journalists – does not mention or even seem to understand inflation. Inflation has been far higher than rent increases – meaning that in real terms, landlords have gone backwards. Vilifying landlords whilst not mentioning their rent increases are less than inflation is telling not even half the story.

The media needs to explain what inflation is – it is money becoming worth less. The costs of landlords are going up – not just interest costs on mortgages but also home insurance, maintenance costs, particularly labour and scarcity, endless certificates and regulations and licensing schemes designed to enrich councils, the list is endless.

Apart from that – even though of course that is seen as sensitive – the media must address the supply of homes issue. Even if planning permissions were granted more readily, there is no affordable labour or enough hands to build the homes we all need. That also means addressing the sensitive issue of net migration running at 700,000 people per annum – a city the size of Liverpool or Southampton coming into the UK every year.

This is a crisis in the making – and one that won’t be solved by beating out the 96% of all landlords who only have one property. Replacing these with big corporate landlords like Blackrock – I can assure you being an economist of decades – they will be wanting far higher rent from tenants than small private landlords – who work hard to maintain themselves, will be very responsive to tenants’ needs, who are – as statistics prove – very likely to not increase rent for good, longstanding tenants.

I don’t see big corporate landlords doing any of that – they will just, especially if they are American – be very, very tough on tenants and won’t be bullied into submitting to governments who are step by step expropriating and exsanguinating small landlords on a decades-long tightening of every single screw they can think of for the landlord who is on a rack and cannot move abroad to avoid more pain. And who is locked in with punitively and discriminatory landlord-only high taxes, penalty stamp duty rates, penalty high capital gains tax rate.

But let me not digress. The media is discriminating and sensation seeking, and all journalists need to be educated on inflation and real rent increases versus nominal increases; and publish honest, not misleading, inflation-corrected figures.

Thank you,

R


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Jim K

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18:32 PM, 27th March 2024, About 8 months ago

R.
Inflation is actually the government transferring its debt to the citizens.

Jim K

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18:35 PM, 27th March 2024, About 8 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Beaver at 27/03/2024 - 18:30
Well made observation

Cider Drinker

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18:51 PM, 27th March 2024, About 8 months ago

When inflation is under control, landlords keep rents low. It’s easier than raising rents by 1% or 2% every year. Some may increase rents by 5% or 6% after 3 or 4 years. Many don’t bother.
When inflation rises sharply, everything costs more. Everything except rents that have been fixed in for 1, 2 or even 3 years. Tradesmen, boilers, decorating materials, kitchens all cost more.
So, in their infinite wisdom the government hike up interest rates. Some landlords see their mortgage interest costs double, treble, quadruple (in my case, rise almost 7-fold).
This hike in interest rates means some landlords are desperate to increase rents for their properties to stay viable. However, they may have to wait 1, 2 or 3 years to increase their rents. When they finally can propose a rent increase, it may be to account for 2 or 3 years’ inflation. A 20% or 25% (or higher) increase is perfectly justifiable.
Section 24 wasn’t so important when interest rates were ridiculously low. As rates rise, the impact is much greater. Some landlords will be operating at a loss and will be desperate to sell. Unfortunately, getting vacant possession is expensive and stressful.
Now the government wants to make the landlords’ lives more difficult with the Renters (Reform) Bill. Timing, they say, is everything.

PAUL BARTLETT

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21:52 PM, 27th March 2024, About 8 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Beaver at 27/03/2024 - 13:26
Negative Cash Flow
The massive imbalance between the Section 13 once a year increase and the MPC three weekly rate increase is a huge financial risk borne by the BTL landlord and imposed by the government in support of financial markets.
So negative Cash flow is easily achieved by not anticipating 14 consecutive rate increases to a variable rate mortgage which is the default after a fix period expires.
That's a double jeopardy with Section 24 tax on turnover.
Thus government destroys the market and competition.
If only there was a responsible agency for that, that acted..

PAUL BARTLETT

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22:01 PM, 27th March 2024, About 8 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Jim K at 27/03/2024 - 18:32
"Inflation is actually the government transferring its debt to the citizens."
Further leveraging the capital gains tax supposed profit to take more of the property value in addition to the value added tax, corporation tax, dividend, income taxes that they already take.
A financial circular economy straight into the treasury!
They print the money and you have to give it back.

Desmond

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23:02 PM, 27th March 2024, About 8 months ago

As the polar opposite of a monopoly, the aspirant renter cannot be exploited by the PRS. I like the adage that in London you compete with the richest in the world for housing, and the poorest for labour - herein lies the exploitation, enacted by the state.

Beaver

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9:31 AM, 28th March 2024, About 8 months ago

Reply to the comment left by PAUL BARTLETT at 27/03/2024 - 22:01
I agree with this of course except that it's the Bank of England that raises interest rates. The government is complicit because it has introduced tax policies that stop small landlords (that's the majority of them) offsetting the cost of their finance against their rents.

So yes the fact that rent inflation is the bit of inflation that remains stubbornly high is a situation created by government. The UK national government is destroying the market, destroying competition and manufacturing a crisis. The SNP government in Scotland has made it worse by introducing rent controls.

The Bank of England raising interest rates is a blunt instrument and it pushes rents up. It would have less effect if you could deduct your finance costs like any other business or investment.

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