The exodus of landlords: How bad does it have to get?

The exodus of landlords: How bad does it have to get?

10:12 AM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago 22

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Some critics, landlords and commentators say there isn’t a landlord exodus, but landlords are leaving – there is no doubt. So, while the term exodus makes people feel squeamish it’s like the look-out on the Titanic calling that massive iceberg ‘a chunk of ice’. We can play with words all we want but the truth of the matter is there for everyone to see.

This week, Property118 wrote about the latest Goodlord & Vouch State of the Lettings Industry Report which paints a stark picture of the UK’s rental market.

Landlords are increasingly leaving the sector, driven by a combination of factors including new legislation, rising costs and the challenges of managing rental properties.

This is before the Renters’ Rights Bill comes in and Labour pushes up CGT rates this month.

Whatever. This exodus is not only shrinking the supply of rental properties but also creating a crisis that could have far-reaching consequences for both landlords and tenants.

Landlords leaving the market

While the reasons for landlords leaving the market are understandable, the impact of their departure is likely to be severe.

As landlords, we know that as the supply of rental properties dwindles, competition among tenants will intensify, driving rents even higher.

This will make it increasingly difficult for many people to afford a decent home, particularly those on lower incomes.

But it will be landlords who will continually get the blame.

Apparently, we aren’t allowed to vote with our feet and cash-in on the money, time and expense – and invariably, aggro from tenants – that we have invested. We are always the whipping boy.

Growing housing crisis

We also know as landlords, that the government must take urgent steps to address this growing housing crisis.

One solution is to provide landlords with greater incentives to remain in the market.

This could include offering tax breaks, reducing regulatory burdens and providing financial support for property improvements – including for the nonsense EPC plans.

Claiming financial expenses and reintroducing the wear and tear allowance would also help.

As would building lots of new houses to boost housing supply.

Government fails to act

As things get worse and if the government fails to act, the consequences for tenants could be devastating.

Landlords are proud to house people and offer quality homes, but we’ll see more people being forced to live in overcrowded or substandard accommodation.

Plus, homeless numbers will rise – including families with children.

I can’t image the sleepless nights that good, honest landlords must feel when they decide to take possession knowing a family will struggle to find somewhere else to live.

But this will be a business decision and one that must be made.

PRS could become increasingly unstable

So, how long should the rest of us remain? The PRS could become increasingly unstable, with rents continually rising and criminal landlords taking advantage of tenant demand.

I’ve mentioned before that there needs to be a dialogue between landlords and the government before the situation gets out of hand.

Yes, the landlord’s house might be snapped up by another landlord – and lots are still buying – and a first-time buyer might invest.

But for those who can’t afford to buy or pay more rent then they’re stuck. I mean properly stuck.

There’ll be nowhere to rent, and the best offer will be a B&B.

No one voted for this but that conversation I mentioned needs to be an honest one with a frank exchange of views of why politicians have for years now been trying to chase us out of the sector.

Politicians and tenant campaign groups also need to understand the role they’ve played in making renting life worse and more expensive tenants.

Maligning every decent landlord

Finally, a word about my old friend Polly Neate and her leaving the housing charity, Shelter.

I take my hat off to someone who played a great PR game in maligning every decent landlord in the country while running a homelessness charity that didn’t house anyone. Not one person.

But the six-figure salary and the (undeserved) gong will be nice memories – though I suspect that getting out now before the disaster of the Renters’ Rights Bill hits is a canny move.

I’ve never agreed with a word you’ve said, Polly, but my God, dodging the ramifications of the abolition of Section 21 and the surefire increase in homelessness will be the testament you leave behind.

You should be ashamed of helping to create this disaster, but I suspect the plight of those about to be made homeless isn’t something you will lose sleep over.

Until next time,

The Landlord Crusader


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Crouchender

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16:12 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Stella at 04/10/2024 - 14:44
PRS is very fragile state and could be crashed on 30th October easily. BUT if Reeves is clever she could increase to 50% then as a portfolio LL it would raise a massive barrier to sell so my properties will be stuck in the PRS (she would lock in PRS supply to prevent crash). Add to the fact that NI will be added to unearned income (rental income as they see it) so tax revenue raising (rather than reliant on CGT returns as she wont get any as LLs stop their sale). LLs will hope house prices continue upwards to offset the extra CGT they would have to pay in Labours one term government?!. Plus rent increase delay allows rent deflation so tenants breathe a sigh of relief.

So it is WIN: WIN: LOSE for tenant, Labour, and PRS LLs.

BUT IS REEVES CLEVER?!

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16:17 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago

Obfuscated Data

Stella

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16:55 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Crouchender at 04/10/2024 - 16:12
Rachel will not play a fair game.

If she increases CGT I hope that she at least reinstates taper relief but I am not holding my breath.

40/50% would be an unacceptable increase especially for people who have owned property for a long time.

Cider Drinker

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17:15 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Stella at 04/10/2024 - 14:44
My rents are below market value. When I propose an increase, they will still be below market value.

If a tenant takes it to tribunal, they may save a few quid today. Check.

However, any subsequent increase will be to full market value. Checkmate, I win.

Stella

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17:36 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Cider Drinker at 04/10/2024 - 17:15
My feeling is that the tribunals idea of market value will not be what we believe it to be.
They will be looking at the lower end of the rental spectrum just like they did pre 1988 housing act and this will be rent capping by the back door.

Monty Bodkin

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18:16 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago

"The bill will see most tenants refer their rents to the tribunal because they will have nothing to loose."

Tribunal decisions are public knowledge. Any tenant appearing on it will struggle to get another tenancy as any landlord with any sense will search it before even bothering with a viewing.

A sort of rogue tenant register!

Crouchender

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21:11 PM, 4th October 2024, About 2 months ago

I think all us LLs will need to get familiar with the way the FTT operates/collects data. Here is one in Scotland...

https://housingandpropertychamber.scot/apply-tribunal/rent-terms-prescribed-property-costs/rent-decisions

Paul Essex

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9:35 AM, 5th October 2024, About 2 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Crouchender at 04/10/2024 - 21:11
Fascinating and scary, I see in a few cases that the rent was set BELOW the tenants previous rent.

Crouchender

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21:09 PM, 5th October 2024, About 2 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Paul Essex at 05/10/2024 - 09:35
It is now very clear to me that the FTT will be the RENT CONTROL POLICE

So even those of us who have been offered over asking price might be happy for 1 year but come rent increase in 12 months time the tenant will go to FTT and have their rent reduced!

Maybe the moral of this scenario is don't issue a section13 rent increase (rent freeze but at least it is at the higher offer initial bid) until the tenant moves out. Fun and games but I don't think I will be able to win this game now as it is fixed. Something tells me Labour DO know what they are doing to reduce rents via their own back door method.

So its is unofficial the Scottish SDP system of rent caps without declaring it.

Stella

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10:23 AM, 6th October 2024, About 2 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Crouchender at 05/10/2024 - 21:09
Apparently a tenant will also be at liberty to refer their rent to the FTT as soon as they take the tenancy so the idea of the tenant paying the maximum rent at the commencement of the tenancy might be a means of getting his foot in the door but he will know that that the FTT will reduce it.

Just another way of manipulating the market and reducing rents!

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