10:12 AM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago 22
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Some critics, landlords and commentators say there isn’t a landlord exodus, but landlords are leaving – there is no doubt. So, while the term exodus makes people feel squeamish it’s like the look-out on the Titanic calling that massive iceberg ‘a chunk of ice’. We can play with words all we want but the truth of the matter is there for everyone to see.
This week, Property118 wrote about the latest Goodlord & Vouch State of the Lettings Industry Report which paints a stark picture of the UK’s rental market.
Landlords are increasingly leaving the sector, driven by a combination of factors including new legislation, rising costs and the challenges of managing rental properties.
This is before the Renters’ Rights Bill comes in and Labour pushes up CGT rates this month.
Whatever. This exodus is not only shrinking the supply of rental properties but also creating a crisis that could have far-reaching consequences for both landlords and tenants.
While the reasons for landlords leaving the market are understandable, the impact of their departure is likely to be severe.
As landlords, we know that as the supply of rental properties dwindles, competition among tenants will intensify, driving rents even higher.
This will make it increasingly difficult for many people to afford a decent home, particularly those on lower incomes.
But it will be landlords who will continually get the blame.
Apparently, we aren’t allowed to vote with our feet and cash-in on the money, time and expense – and invariably, aggro from tenants – that we have invested. We are always the whipping boy.
We also know as landlords, that the government must take urgent steps to address this growing housing crisis.
One solution is to provide landlords with greater incentives to remain in the market.
This could include offering tax breaks, reducing regulatory burdens and providing financial support for property improvements – including for the nonsense EPC plans.
Claiming financial expenses and reintroducing the wear and tear allowance would also help.
As would building lots of new houses to boost housing supply.
As things get worse and if the government fails to act, the consequences for tenants could be devastating.
Landlords are proud to house people and offer quality homes, but we’ll see more people being forced to live in overcrowded or substandard accommodation.
Plus, homeless numbers will rise – including families with children.
I can’t image the sleepless nights that good, honest landlords must feel when they decide to take possession knowing a family will struggle to find somewhere else to live.
But this will be a business decision and one that must be made.
So, how long should the rest of us remain? The PRS could become increasingly unstable, with rents continually rising and criminal landlords taking advantage of tenant demand.
I’ve mentioned before that there needs to be a dialogue between landlords and the government before the situation gets out of hand.
Yes, the landlord’s house might be snapped up by another landlord – and lots are still buying – and a first-time buyer might invest.
But for those who can’t afford to buy or pay more rent then they’re stuck. I mean properly stuck.
There’ll be nowhere to rent, and the best offer will be a B&B.
No one voted for this but that conversation I mentioned needs to be an honest one with a frank exchange of views of why politicians have for years now been trying to chase us out of the sector.
Politicians and tenant campaign groups also need to understand the role they’ve played in making renting life worse and more expensive tenants.
Finally, a word about my old friend Polly Neate and her leaving the housing charity, Shelter.
I take my hat off to someone who played a great PR game in maligning every decent landlord in the country while running a homelessness charity that didn’t house anyone. Not one person.
But the six-figure salary and the (undeserved) gong will be nice memories – though I suspect that getting out now before the disaster of the Renters’ Rights Bill hits is a canny move.
I’ve never agreed with a word you’ve said, Polly, but my God, dodging the ramifications of the abolition of Section 21 and the surefire increase in homelessness will be the testament you leave behind.
You should be ashamed of helping to create this disaster, but I suspect the plight of those about to be made homeless isn’t something you will lose sleep over.
Until next time,
The Landlord Crusader
DC
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Sign Up11:02 AM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago
We recently sold the last of our 9 rental properties. We had originally intended keeping them and buying more for many years to come. Most landlords that I know are also sold up or in the process of selling, so where people get the idea that there isn’t a mass exodus of landlords and rental properties, I don't understand.
I genuinely wish those that are staying on as landlords, good luck, and for any that are thinking about venturing into investing in rentals for the first time, do your homework thoroughly.
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Sign Up12:09 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago
Ash
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Sign Up12:36 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago
My daughter recently bought her first property. She viewed many before finalising her purchase. Every property bar none that she went to see was a landlord selling up. Ohh yes but there is no exodus of landlords. It’s typical of politicians that when they want to run through a policy then do not look at evidence or just claim everything is fake news. Then when it goes belly up blame the greedy landlords!!!
Cider Drinker
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Sign Up12:38 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago
The problem that , at any given time, the U.K. has a fixed number of homes.
Some are owner-occupied, some are social rental properties , some are privately rented properties, some are short term lets and some are empty.
The number of people needing a home is increasing daily as more and more people move to the U.K.
The last government introduced Section 24. Next, they banned landlords from gaining possession during the Covid pandemic. They also stopped holiday lets from operating. However, holiday let owners were given £10k plus to compensate them for their lost business. Landlords didn’t get a penny.
Section 24 didn’t matter too much oh as interest rates were low and it was phased in over a number of years. However, iit should have come as no surprise when rates rose and higher rate taxpayers switched to holiday lets (where the tax treatment was fairer).
This meant that there were fewer properties for private long term let.
The invasion continued.
Now, just the threat of the Tories’ RRB, spurred more private landlords to switch to holiday lets or to sell up.
Then Labour happened. Their more damaging RRB has spurred more landlords into trying to sell up. For every private rental that is successfully sold there will be many more where landlords are stuck with tenants they no longer want.
The future is bleak for renters. Landlords will sell whenever their properties become vacant.
Those that can buy a home will be ok. Those that need to rent will see less availability and higher prices. Much higher prices.
And still, the invasion continues.
TheMaluka
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Sign Up12:42 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago
I regret that Polly Neate has single-handedly (OK, with some help from Generation Rent) managed to decimate the Private Rental Sector and increased homelessness. She should hand back her OBE.
Si BB
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Sign Up13:17 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago
Even if landlords do not sell, the tenant demand is increasing due to immigration demand. Add in a 10% early 20's population bump appearing towards the end of this decade/start of next and rents can only go one way...
The EPC requirements are another impact to a property sector with a large proportion of Victorian houses which will require expensive works to meet EPC C.
And this does not even cover the landlords who are selling up right now!
I'm estimating a 20% rent increase post the RRB going live.
Northernpleb
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Sign Up13:24 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago
In the Midlands and North West its a dismal situation for Renters, And Landlords.
The situation has not been due to an imaginary big black hole but a sustained attack by the Government and Councils on Mum and Pop Landlords who were doing a great job of Housing Families , Whilst trying to put a bit aside for their retirement.
Cause For Concern
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Sign Up13:49 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago
.I issued 25 Section 21 notices just before the election in response to Angela Rayner’s promise to “abolish S21 from day one".
Bad news for tenants, bad news for me but it’s no doubt what Tories, Labour, Shelter, Generation Rent wanted.
Kurt Peterson
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Sign Up13:55 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago
As an accidental landlord of some 12 years and I’ve really tried very hard to look after my tenants despite the odd abuse. Lowest rents in area, brand new properties when rented. Everything fixed sometimes within a hour, all legal requirements done and squeaky clean. I’ve had enough. Sick to death of being vilified by media, politicians and so called charities and the like. The new rent reform act is the final nail. So now in the early process’s to sell everything. It’s just not worth it anymore and my sanity is paramount these days.
Stella
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Sign Up14:44 PM, 4th October 2024, About 3 months ago
Reply to the comment left by Si BB at 04/10/2024 - 13:17
Rents can only go one way until the renters rights bill becomes law, then they could go down.
The bill will see most tenants refer their rents to the tribunal because they will have nothing to loose.
The tribunals will not have any powers to increase the rents.
Using rent tribunals will be a useful delaying tactic for tenants because they cannot loose and it will take perhaps several months before the assessment and the new rent cannot be back dated and therefore it could be several months before the tenant has to worry about an increase or decrease in his rent.
What is to stop a tenant who has been in a property say for six months referring his rent to the tribunal and perhaps having it reduced?
Win win for the tenant and over time this could reduce rents!