Housing: The Key Battleground in the Upcoming Election

Housing: The Key Battleground in the Upcoming Election

11:25 AM, 24th June 2024, About 5 months ago 35

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As we edge closer to the next general election, housing has become a pivotal issue in the political arena – beyond our usual daily bubbles. The housing crisis, affecting millions across the country, is set to be a significant talking point, with each party vying to present the most compelling solutions (of course). Do you believe any of them?

The Labour Party’s Vision

Labour has pledged a transformative approach to tackle the housing crisis head-on. Their proposal centres around a massive house-building program aimed at delivering affordable homes at an unprecedented scale. By promising to construct 150,000 social homes annually, Labour seeks to address the dire shortage in the rental sector, which has been plagued by skyrocketing rents and limited availability. Spoiler alert – what they are suggesting is impossible – certainly in the first couple of years – and exceedingly difficult and expensive in the second half of what looks like their first term for nearly 15 years.

Additionally, Labour’s plans include implementing stronger rent controls and enhancing tenants’ rights. By abolishing Section 21 ‘no-fault’ evictions, they aim to provide renters with greater security and stability, a move that has garnered significant support from tenant advocacy groups. However, these proposals have gone down like a lead balloon among landlords. One argument is that stricter regulations will deter investment in the rental market. The interest rate has already done an incredible amount of heavy lifting in that department.

The Conservative Party’s Response

In response, the Conservative Party has put forward its own set of ambitious housing policies. Their focus is on homeownership, with a promise to help more people climb the property ladder. The Conservatives propose extending the Right to Buy scheme to housing association tenants, allowing them to purchase their homes at a discount – bridging the gap so “no-one” (read – everyone) is out of pocket.

Moreover, the party aims to simplify the planning process to expedite the construction of new homes. By cutting red tape and incentivizing developers, they hope to boost the supply of housing and make homeownership more attainable for first-time buyers. Critics, however, argue that these measures may not go far enough to address the root causes of the housing crisis, particularly the lack of affordable rental properties.

A Cross-Party Consensus?

Despite their differing approaches, there is a growing recognition among all parties that urgent action is needed to address the housing crisis. Both Labour and the Conservatives acknowledge the importance of increasing housing supply, though they differ on the methods to achieve this goal.

The Liberal Democrats and the Green Party also contribute to the housing debate, advocating for environmentally sustainable developments and greater support for local communities in housing decisions. Their emphasis on sustainability and community involvement highlights the multifaceted nature of the housing issue, which requires a comprehensive and collaborative approach. In the real world, we dream of cross-party consensus!

Reform

Not in the sector – per se – but the party. The only one really appealing to landlords, moving skilfully into the space left wide open over the past 9 years after the “legendary” 2015 Gideon Osborne budget. The hostile environment, revisited.

So simple – but of course moving into that space only works for Reform. It wouldn’t be congruent with anyone else’s ideology. A friend put it so eloquently this week (the sort of friend who you would describe as Tory, through and through):

“Have you read the Reform manifesto?

Not much to dislike in there!!

Ok it’s all unfunded and they are horrid racists but you can’t have everything.

I genuinely think I’m going to have to vote for them. My first ever time not ticking the blue box. Sniff.”

We aren’t in the same place – but it is fair to say we share some common ground in that quote.

I feel very conflicted over the Reform “contract”. Some parts – frankly – are completely correct. Other parts are extremely naive, particularly economically, which has me very worried.

The Electoral Implications

As housing becomes a central issue in the election campaign, voters will closely scrutinize each party’s proposals. The electorate’s decision will be influenced not only by the feasibility of these plans but also by their potential impact on everyday lives. With housing affordability at the forefront of public concern, the party that presents the most viable and appealing solutions is likely to gain significant traction. The chief issue is that none of these solutions are really viable, and we will have 5 more years of hurt coming our way. It will take a genuine miracle – that miracle being genuine political will to make a difference in housing.

In conclusion, the upcoming election will see housing as a crucial battleground, with parties striving to convince voters that they hold the key to solving the housing crisis. As we approach the election, it will be fascinating to see how these proposals evolve and how they resonate with the public. One thing is clear: housing will play a decisive role in shaping the political landscape in the days, weeks and months to come.


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JB

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18:58 PM, 27th June 2024, About 5 months ago

If you're talking about the Nick Roberts Panorama interview what he said was
'the ever eastward expansion of NATO and the EU was giving this man, (Putin) a reason to his Russian people to say they're coming for us and to go to war'
His tweet was ' it was a consequence of EU and NATO expansion'
You are welcome to split hairs if it makes you feel better. No offence

Adam Lawrence

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9:01 AM, 29th June 2024, About 5 months ago

Reply to the comment left by JB at 27/06/2024 - 18:58
Yep, a reason.

Not an excuse.

I think splitting hairs is key as it shows true colours.

Normally he is much cleverer than that - e.g.

Sunak "doesn't understand our culture".

Apologise for that if you prefer, but that's nothing to do with Sunak's privilege, the choice of language makes it clear that it is OUR culture and our own Prime Minister isn't part of it (which is a ridiculous statement) and then you work out for yourself WHY he isn't part of OUR culture.

But definitionally - he is, and for a few more days - he's the leader of it!

I think this is highly important, because currently the 1920s are repeating themselves - and if Labour fail to deliver, we will either get a cleaned-up, workable, Reform party for a 2029 election (if we go full term), or we will be in the same boat that France are currently in.

We can have a look and see how France will do if Macron has shot the pooch here, because a lot of investment money will be pulling out of France if this goes what's perceived to be "badly". Like Brexit - this is just a self-fulfilling prophecy, regardless of whether it is a "good idea" or not.

JB

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12:20 PM, 29th June 2024, About 5 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Adam Lawrence at 29/06/2024 - 09:01
Labour will make a Horlicks of it, we'll have an almighty recession in 2026/2027 - and then I'll collect my 50p from you!

Adam Lawrence

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19:11 PM, 29th June 2024, About 5 months ago

Reply to the comment left by JB at 29/06/2024 - 12:20
I'll keep it warm - these don't look in any way radical, if anything they aren't going to do much at all apart from the odd ideological misstep like VAT on private school fees - they are too scared to and have forgotten what it is like to govern.

"Only three of the current 31 members of the shadow cabinet have had any ministerial experience at cabinet level in government"

Rayner is already getting watered down.

If Starmer gets toppled all bets are off.....

I don't think they will do much at all tbh. There's no room left to do much apart from hope that this economy that finally looks to be growing at 1.5% a year or more grows us out of trouble.

Beaver

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15:48 PM, 15th July 2024, About 4 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Adam Lawrence at 26/06/2024 - 09:49
This isn't intended to be a comment about who should be in the country and who should not but here is a report on net migration numbers:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13635399/Population-England-Wales-grows-year-biggest-rise-1948-immigration-deaths-births.html

As a landlord my priorities are: (1) Can the tenant afford to/does the tenant pay the rent on time and in full (2) Does the tenant/will the tenant get on with the neighbours (3) Does the tenant/will the tenant look after the property. I'm not interested in anything else although the law now requires either me or my agent to check that the tenant has the right to rent in the UK.

But although these are my priorities there is no way that any competent government can overlook these net migration figures. And none of the UK governments can deal with them without a healthy private rented sector.

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