Housing: The Key Battleground in the Upcoming Election

Housing: The Key Battleground in the Upcoming Election

by Adam Lawrence

Guest Author

11:25 AM, 24th June 2024, About 6 days ago 34

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As we edge closer to the next general election, housing has become a pivotal issue in the political arena – beyond our usual daily bubbles. The housing crisis, affecting millions across the country, is set to be a significant talking point, with each party vying to present the most compelling solutions (of course). Do you believe any of them?

The Labour Party’s Vision

Labour has pledged a transformative approach to tackle the housing crisis head-on. Their proposal centres around a massive house-building program aimed at delivering affordable homes at an unprecedented scale. By promising to construct 150,000 social homes annually, Labour seeks to address the dire shortage in the rental sector, which has been plagued by skyrocketing rents and limited availability. Spoiler alert – what they are suggesting is impossible – certainly in the first couple of years – and exceedingly difficult and expensive in the second half of what looks like their first term for nearly 15 years.

Additionally, Labour’s plans include implementing stronger rent controls and enhancing tenants’ rights. By abolishing Section 21 ‘no-fault’ evictions, they aim to provide renters with greater security and stability, a move that has garnered significant support from tenant advocacy groups. However, these proposals have gone down like a lead balloon among landlords. One argument is that stricter regulations will deter investment in the rental market. The interest rate has already done an incredible amount of heavy lifting in that department.

The Conservative Party’s Response

In response, the Conservative Party has put forward its own set of ambitious housing policies. Their focus is on homeownership, with a promise to help more people climb the property ladder. The Conservatives propose extending the Right to Buy scheme to housing association tenants, allowing them to purchase their homes at a discount – bridging the gap so “no-one” (read – everyone) is out of pocket.

Moreover, the party aims to simplify the planning process to expedite the construction of new homes. By cutting red tape and incentivizing developers, they hope to boost the supply of housing and make homeownership more attainable for first-time buyers. Critics, however, argue that these measures may not go far enough to address the root causes of the housing crisis, particularly the lack of affordable rental properties.

A Cross-Party Consensus?

Despite their differing approaches, there is a growing recognition among all parties that urgent action is needed to address the housing crisis. Both Labour and the Conservatives acknowledge the importance of increasing housing supply, though they differ on the methods to achieve this goal.

The Liberal Democrats and the Green Party also contribute to the housing debate, advocating for environmentally sustainable developments and greater support for local communities in housing decisions. Their emphasis on sustainability and community involvement highlights the multifaceted nature of the housing issue, which requires a comprehensive and collaborative approach. In the real world, we dream of cross-party consensus!

Reform

Not in the sector – per se – but the party. The only one really appealing to landlords, moving skilfully into the space left wide open over the past 9 years after the “legendary” 2015 Gideon Osborne budget. The hostile environment, revisited.

So simple – but of course moving into that space only works for Reform. It wouldn’t be congruent with anyone else’s ideology. A friend put it so eloquently this week (the sort of friend who you would describe as Tory, through and through):

“Have you read the Reform manifesto?

Not much to dislike in there!!

Ok it’s all unfunded and they are horrid racists but you can’t have everything.

I genuinely think I’m going to have to vote for them. My first ever time not ticking the blue box. Sniff.”

We aren’t in the same place – but it is fair to say we share some common ground in that quote.

I feel very conflicted over the Reform “contract”. Some parts – frankly – are completely correct. Other parts are extremely naive, particularly economically, which has me very worried.

The Electoral Implications

As housing becomes a central issue in the election campaign, voters will closely scrutinize each party’s proposals. The electorate’s decision will be influenced not only by the feasibility of these plans but also by their potential impact on everyday lives. With housing affordability at the forefront of public concern, the party that presents the most viable and appealing solutions is likely to gain significant traction. The chief issue is that none of these solutions are really viable, and we will have 5 more years of hurt coming our way. It will take a genuine miracle – that miracle being genuine political will to make a difference in housing.

In conclusion, the upcoming election will see housing as a crucial battleground, with parties striving to convince voters that they hold the key to solving the housing crisis. As we approach the election, it will be fascinating to see how these proposals evolve and how they resonate with the public. One thing is clear: housing will play a decisive role in shaping the political landscape in the days, weeks and months to come.


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Comments

Judith Wordsworth

10:23 AM, 24th June 2024, About 6 days ago

Shame we didn’t all follow my suggestion of a couple of years ago for every PRS landlord to serve s21’s with 3 months expiry notice all on the same date.

Government, current or future, and Local Authorities would have then realised what a good job most of us are doing providing good housing for those they cannot AND to start working with PRS landlords as opposed to against.

This action which needn’t have been followed through could potentially have seen 4.7 million families (using Labour’s figure - just under 10 million people) homeless on the same day.

My Local Authority has been bulk buying tents. Interesting!

Adam Lawrence

10:41 AM, 24th June 2024, About 6 days ago

Reply to the comment left by Cider Drinker at 23/06/2024 - 21:51
No, that won't be the population - but the incoming problem is much larger when you look at the demographics and accept the facts

Too many old people not working and claiming pensions and needing care

Not enough of working age

Not enough of school age soon to become of working age!

So if you don't make them, you import them, or you accept no growth/3 lost decades like Japan have had.

This is not a pro or anti immigration argument - simply a summary of the facts - pensions are unaffordable just as the NHS is unaffordable and both need reform, OR we need to pay taxes like they do in a lot of the rest of Western Europe.

Adam Lawrence

10:42 AM, 24th June 2024, About 6 days ago

Reply to the comment left by Cider Drinker at 24/06/2024 - 08:45
Children are, instead, born at the lower or upper end of the income deciles - and the middle is getting a little hollowed out.

It changes more by geography than anything else, then by income, but the real unspoken issue is class, of course.

Cider Drinker

11:04 AM, 24th June 2024, About 6 days ago

Reply to the comment left by Adam Lawrence at 24/06/2024 - 10:41
Importing more and more people is a Ponzi scheme and doomed to failure.

When do we start to worry about U.K. population? 100 million, 150 million?

JB

12:01 PM, 24th June 2024, About 6 days ago

Reply to the comment left by Adam Lawrence at 23/06/2024 - 20:53
Non of the Reform candidates have been vetted. Reform paid a large sum of money for a company to vet them, but the ex-tory company owner hasn't done it. Instead he's allowed unsavory candidates, which Reform would have dismissed, to be publicised. Of course he didn't do that with candidates from other parties.

Fred M BARRETT

12:03 PM, 24th June 2024, About 6 days ago

Losing section 21 has another side. It can be for a good reason and neither the tenant or landlord's fault. The local authority then has a duty to re-house. They don't want to. Without section 21 they can claim it was the tenant's fault and dodge responsibility. Locally one of the big 2 HA's have apparently stopped new social housing offers as they were making a loss on them. Now the Labour party only talk about 'affordable housing' as well. Is this the darker side of losing section 21? Please post a reply if you can clarify

TheMaluka

12:15 PM, 24th June 2024, About 6 days ago

Reply to the comment left by Fred M BARRETT at 24/06/2024 - 12:03
I will willingly consider any housing benefit tenant, but only with a working home-owning guarantor, someone who will guarantee not only the rent but all the potential damage.

Adam Lawrence

14:07 PM, 24th June 2024, About 6 days ago

Reply to the comment left by Fred M BARRETT at 24/06/2024 - 12:03
Hopefully not - the "intentionally homeless" piece causes a change in the way local authorities operate of course, but now they know budget black holes are plugged by central government, at this time they can just threaten to go bankrupt.......

Adam Lawrence

14:08 PM, 24th June 2024, About 6 days ago

Reply to the comment left by JB at 24/06/2024 - 12:01
Let's face it even the big boys and girls can't get 100% trustworthy candidates, but Reform's PR spin on this bit is pretty impressive.

"Not my fault" if the candidates are what they are......

But with the wind behind you, you can get away with murder, let's face it.

Adam Lawrence

14:10 PM, 24th June 2024, About 6 days ago

Reply to the comment left by Cider Drinker at 24/06/2024 - 11:04
My point is more around the makeup than the number. What's the right ratio of

Children
Students
Working age adults
Working age non-working adults
Retirement age adults

And all the demographics are slowly getting worse.

Even Reform are already watered down to "net zero non-essential immigration"

Getting obsessed with "the number" is just arbitrary. We could have 250k per year necessary and needed net migration, we could have 20k per year of completely the wrong sort of net migration........

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